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<p style=“MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0pt“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>一些开发商认为&ldquo;谁捂(盘)到最后,谁受益最多&rdquo;,就是瞅准了有效供给不足的&ldquo;软肋&rdquo;。</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“><br /></span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>&ldquo;十一五&rdquo;期间,北京规划安排经济适用房</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>1500</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>万平方米,两限房</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>1500</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>万平方米,共计占住房总量的</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>24</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>.</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>4</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>%。</font></span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“> </span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>据估算,</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>3000</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>万平方米至少可建经济适用住房、两限房</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>20</span><font face=“宋体“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“>万套。</span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<br /><p style=“MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0pt“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“> &ldquo;这将彻底颠覆目前北京的高房价!&rdquo;</font></span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“> </span><font face=“宋体“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“>业内人士认为,按照规划来看,两到三年后,北京的住宅均价将会被拉低。</span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<br /><p style=“MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0pt“><font face=“宋体“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“> 五合国际集团总顾问刘力博士认为,大幅增加两限房和保障房的供应,拉开住房的价格差距,即使未来高端商品房价格达到世界同类水平,但更大比例的两限房和保障房价格仍维持在低位。</span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<br /><p style=“MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0pt“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“> </font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>8</span><font face=“宋体“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“>大两限房</span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<br /><p style=“MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0pt“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“> 提供</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>2.3</span><font face=“宋体“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“>万套住宅</span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<br /><p style=“MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0pt“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“> </font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>7</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>月</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>18</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>日,市规委公布了《北京市&ldquo;十一五&rdquo;保障性住房及&ldquo;两限&rdquo;商品住房用地布局规划》。&ldquo;十一五&rdquo;期间,北京市新建住房将达</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>1#p#分页标题#e#</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>.</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>23</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>亿平方米,其中规划安排经济适用房</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>1500</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>万平方米(含廉租住房</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>150</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>万平方米),两限房</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>1500</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>万平方米,共计</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>3000</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>万平方米,占住房总量的</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>24</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>.</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>4</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>%。</font></span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“> <span lang=“EN-US“><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<br /><p style=“MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0pt“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“> 紧随其后,第二批两限房东铁匠营地块、清河小营地块公布了建设方案。北京万科表示,东铁匠营地块总建筑面积</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>13.6</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>万平方米,将建</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>1800</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>余套两限房、</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>160</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>余套廉租房。该项目</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>2007</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>年年底开工,</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>2008</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>年</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>3</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>月开盘销售,</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>2009</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>年底竣工。两限房套型面积均在</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>90</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>平方米以下,主力户型为</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>70</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>至</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>80</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>平方米的两居室,</font></span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“> </span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>销售均价</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>6200</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>元</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>/</span><font face=“宋体“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“>平方米。#p#分页标题#e#</span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<br /><p style=“MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0pt“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“> 据北京金隅嘉业房地产公司相关人士介绍,清河小营两限房总建筑面积</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>14.2</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>万平方米,销售均价为</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>6600</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>元</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>/</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>平方米,将建</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>1600</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>套两限房、配建廉租房</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>100</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>套左右。户型以南北通透的高层板楼为主,平均户型控制在</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>80</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>平方米以下,停车位的比例为每</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>10</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>户</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>3</span><font face=“宋体“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“>个。</span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<br /><p style=“MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0pt“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“> 截至目前,北京已入市的</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>8</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>个两限房地块中,已有</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>5</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>个确定了建筑套数,累计可提供</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>1.4</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>万套两限房。</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“><br /></span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>其他</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>3</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>个两限房地块,即北京第三批两限房&mdash;&mdash;&mdash;朝阳区常营乡两限房</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>A</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>组团、</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>B1</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>组团、</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>B2</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>组团,其</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>5900</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>元</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>/</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>平方米的售价是目前两限房中最低的。这三个地块总建筑控制面积达到</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>101</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“>#p#分页标题#e#<font face=“宋体“>万平方米,属于两限房项目中的&ldquo;巨无霸&rdquo;。据估算,常营乡地块合计可提供两限房</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>9000</span><font face=“宋体“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“>套左右。</span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<br /><p style=“MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0pt“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“> 点评:</font></span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“> </span><font face=“宋体“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“>从保障性住房及两限房的规划规模、分布来看,&ldquo;链家地产&rdquo;市场研发中心认为,这份规划不但增强了中低收入群体购房的信心,而且能缓解当前房价上涨过快的势头。</span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<br /><p style=“MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0pt“><font face=“宋体“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“> 地铁沿线</span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<br /><p style=“MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0pt“><font face=“宋体“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“> 扼住房价上涨&ldquo;龙头&rdquo;</span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<br /><p style=“MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0pt“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“> 根据规划,保障性住房将重点安排在轨道交通沿线和站点周边,保障性住房及&ldquo;两限&rdquo;房布局重点是定福庄、南苑、丰台、石景山等区域。</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“> <br /> ; <br /></span><font face=“宋体“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“> &ldquo;轨道交通沿线房价的涨幅往往在短期内快速上涨,形成房价的&lsquo;领涨区域&rsquo;。&rdquo;&ldquo;链家地产&rdquo;副总经理金育松表示,按照房产市场规律,轨道交通沿线可迅速集聚人气、商机、配套,形成一线式居住区域。把保障性住房安排在轨道交通沿线,不仅提高了购房者的生活便利度,而且可有效压制轨道沿线上涨较快的房价,扼住房价上涨的&ldquo;龙头&rdquo;。</span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<br /><p style=“MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0pt“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“> 今年,本市初步确定</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>32</span><font face=“宋体“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“>个保障性住房及两限房项目用地布局。据分析,随着限价房在定福庄、南苑的成规模开发,定福庄将会对东部房价起到缓冲作用,南苑将发展成南四环至南五环之间的大型居住区。</span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<br /><p style=“MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0pt“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“> 定福庄位于东五环外,连接着</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>CBD</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>和通州。作为东部次中心区域,随着近两年</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>CBD</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>的东扩,朝阳北路的通车以及万象新天、定福家园等大盘的入市,定福庄逐渐成为依托</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>CBD</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>的居住区域,随着</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>10</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>月份朝阳路完成扩路,辟出公交线路以及未来地铁</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>6</span><font face=“宋体“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“>号线的规划,定福庄区域的升值潜力非常看好。</span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<br /><p style=“MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0pt“><font face=“宋体“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“> 南苑区域位于南四环外,近两年借助南苑快速公交线路的开通,二手房市场得到了快速发展,但还没形成成型的居住区。由于南苑区域东有亦庄,北有马家堡、木樨园等成熟居住区域,在众多成熟区域的环伺下,当前南苑区域的发展遇到了一定的瓶颈,上涨空间有限;此次&ldquo;十一五&rdquo;规划为南苑区域带来规模化的限价房,不仅可以有效地分流马家堡、亦庄等区域的购房客,而且可以使南苑区域形成与马家堡等区域类似的规模化居住区。#p#分页标题#e#</span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<br /><p style=“MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0pt“><font face=“宋体“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“> 点评:定福庄、南苑等重点两限房供应区域的房价涨幅将趋缓,这些区域房产市场在得到两限房供应的补充后,房产市场将进一步成熟。对于整体市场而言,所带来的不是冲击,而是有效的补充。</span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<br /><p style=“MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0pt“><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>3000</span><font face=“宋体“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“>万平方米</span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<br /><p style=“MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0pt“><font face=“宋体“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“> 两到三年颠覆高房价</span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<br /><p style=“MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0pt“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“> 央行决定于</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>2007</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>年</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>7</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>月</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>21</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>日起上调金融机构人民币存贷款基准利率。其中,金融机构一年期存款基准利率上调</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>0.27</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>个百分点,由现行的</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>3.06%</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>提高到</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>3.33%</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>;一年期贷款基准利率上调</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>0.27</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>个百分点,由现行的</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>6.57%</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>提高到</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>6.84%</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>;其他各档次存贷款基准利率也相应调整。个人住房公积金贷款利率相应上调</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>0.09</span><font face=“宋体“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“>个百分点。</span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<br /><p style=“MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0pt“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“> 同时,国务院决定自</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>8</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>月</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>15</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>日起,将储蓄存款利息所得个人所得税的适用税率由现行的</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>20</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>%调减为</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>5</span><font face=“宋体“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“>%</span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“><o:p>#p#分页标题#e#</o:p></span></font></p>
<br /><p style=“MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0pt“><font face=“宋体“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“> 加息能成为当前楼市的&ldquo;退烧药&rdquo;吗?业内人士认为,短期内难改房地产市场升温格局。</span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<br /><p style=“MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0pt“><font face=“宋体“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“> 五合国际集团总顾问刘力博士认为,就目前全国房地产市场资金相对于土地供应来看,还非常充沛,足以推动房价继续上涨。因此必须通过调整供应结构、改变交易结构来影响价格。大幅增加两限房和保障房的供应,拉开住房的价格差距,即使未来高端商品房价格达到世界同类水平,但更大比例的两限房和保障房价格仍维持在低位。平均来看,总体房价还可以控制在合理的区间内。</span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<br /><p style=“MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0pt“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“> 据一项统计资料显示,北京近几年商品住宅新开工、竣工面积下降。</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>2005</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>年,新开工面积为</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>1983</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>万平方米,</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>2006</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>年减少为</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>1870</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>万平方米;竣工面积由</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>2005</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>年的</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>2841</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>万平方米减少至</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>2006</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>年的</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>2193</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>万平方米。今年</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>1</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>月</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>-5</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>月,商品住宅新开工、竣工面积同比分别减少</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>157</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>万平方米和</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>216</span><font face=“宋体“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“>万平方米。</span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<br /><p style=“MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0pt“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“> 同时,新增供应和销售面积减少。</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>2005</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>年批准预售面积为</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>17.1</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>万套、</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>2205</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>万平方米,</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>2006#p#分页标题#e#</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>年分别下降至</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>13.9</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>万套、</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>1705</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>万平方米。今年</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>1</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>月</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>-5</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>月批准预售</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>3.8</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>万套、</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>441.9</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>万平方米,又比</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>2006</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>年同期分别减少</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>1.7</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>万套和</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>214</span><font face=“宋体“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“>万平方米。</span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<br /><p style=“MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0pt“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“> 由于市场供应持续减少,</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>2005</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>年以来商品住房的成交面积和套数均呈现下降趋势。</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>2005</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>年成交</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>18</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>万套、</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>2132</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>万平方米,</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>2006</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>年分别下降为</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>16</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>万套、</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>1894</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>万平方米。今年</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>1</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>月</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>-5</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>月,成交</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>3.8</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>万套、面积</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>543</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>万平方米。</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>#p##p#分页标题#e#</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>分页标题</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>#e#<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<br /><p style=“MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0pt“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“> 按照规划,十一五&rdquo;期间北京市新建住房将达</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>1</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>.</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>23</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>亿平方米,其中规划安排经济适用房</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>1500</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>万平方米(含廉租住房</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>150</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>万平方米),两限房</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>1500</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>万平方米,共计</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>3000</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>万平方米,占住房总量的</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>24</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>.</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>4</span><font face=“宋体“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“>%。</span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<br /><p style=“MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0pt“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“> &ldquo;如果这</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>3000</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>万平方米的住宅入市、占到住房市场的</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>1/4</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>,将彻底颠覆目前北京的高房价!&rdquo;</font></span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“> </span><font face=“宋体“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“>业内人士认为,按照规划来看,两到三年后,北京的住宅均价将会被拉低。</span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<br /><p style=“MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0pt“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“> 点评:一些开发商之所以认为&ldquo;谁捂(盘)到最后,谁受益最多&rdquo;,就是瞅准了有效供给不足的&ldquo;软肋&rdquo;。要改变后市看涨预期,必须强力推进中小户型普通住房的有效供给,并辅以廉租房等住房保障措施。</font></span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“> <span lang=“EN-US“><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<br /><p style=“MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0pt“><font face=“宋体“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“> 连续加息</span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<br /><p style=“MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0pt“><font face=“宋体“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“> 抑制房产投资购买需求</span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<br /><p style=“MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0pt“><font face=“宋体“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“> &ldquo;连续加息会抑制房产的投资型购买需求。&rdquo;我爱我家市场研究中心认为,本次加息对自住型需求抑制作用不大,但许多自住型购房者会倾向选择购买紧凑型户型和低总价房产,从而尽量少贷款或不贷款,以减轻或避免贷款的利息负担,中小户型房产会进一步受到购房人青睐。</span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<br /><p style=“MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0pt“>#p#分页标题#e#<font face=“宋体“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“> 对于已购房进行投资的业主,由于房价上涨已经到达高位,加之房屋租金整体水平的稳定和高档物业租金价格的持续走低,物业持有税增收在即,而加息后其持有成本会进一步增加,所以一部分已经购房投资的业主会因为本次加息而选择出售手里持有的投资型房产,从而增加二手房的房源供给,缓解二手房房价过快上涨的势头。</span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<br /><p style=“MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0pt“><font face=“宋体“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“> 北京中原三级市场部副总经理宫萍、&ldquo;链家地产&rdquo;副总经理金育松都认为,在当前房地产市场宏观调控政策更加趋紧的情况下,加息对于房产市场长期影响事半功倍,对于抑制需求,平稳房产价格会起到积极的作用。</span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<br /><p style=“MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0pt“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“> 从此次央行上调利率的幅度来看,对于普通的住房消费者来说,此次利率上调的成本增加幅度并不大。以一个贷款</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>30</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>万元、贷款年限</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>20</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>年、按照等额本息还款并可以享受到优惠利率(基准利率的</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>0.85</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>倍)的消费者来看,在此次加息前,每月的还款额为</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>2170.11</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>元,而加息后的每月还款额为</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>2196.81</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>元,每月成本支出增加额为</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>26.7</span><font face=“宋体“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“>元。这样的成本增加对于普通自住消费者来说还是可以承受的,但频繁加息表明利率再度上调的几率非常大,从而会让消费者产生对后期的成本明显增加一个预期,其对住房消费者的心理预警将进一步加大。</span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<br /><p style=“MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0pt“><font face=“宋体“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“> 而《每日经济新闻》评论员叶檀则从另一个角度分析认为,货币政策的影响是不分自住与投资的全方位打击,其中受影响最大的是按月还贷的工薪一族。</span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<br /><p style=“MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0pt“><font face=“宋体“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“> 利率上升对房地产影响包括两方面:一是牵涉经济基本面房价会继续上涨;二是按月还贷的工薪族的成本会成倍上升,收入增长赶不上利率增长的步伐。那些同时贷款购买几十套低价房,或者能够购买房地产公司原始股的人,不在此列。</span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<br /><p style=“MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0pt“><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“> 点评:从</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>2004</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>年</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>10</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>月至今,央行已</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“>7</span><span style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial“><font face=“宋体“>次加息,今年已是第三次加息。对于投资者来说,更多的是一种心理影响,且未来加息预期很高,对于未来投资需求会起到一定抑制作用。</font></span><span lang=“EN-US“ style=“FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial“><o:p></o:p></span></p> |
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